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Version 162

10 September 2018

This is Version 162 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist.  It was last updated on 10 September 2018.

Location Description Changes

Nil

Addition/Removals

Nil

Risk Level Changes

Azerbaijan Moderate 1.5 from Elevated 1.6: Reported agreement between Azerbaijan and Turkey on mutual recognition of e-signatures by 2019 should simplify clearance
 of cargo transiting Georgia, reducing risk of cargo delay/disruption.

Risk Score Changes  

Egypt High 2.8 from High 2.9:  Armed forces' counter terror operations in Sinai have reduced the frequency of successful attacks on vehicle convoys and army-owned
 construction projects.
Guinea Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.2: Lower risk is driven by an agreement over disputed local election results, which reduces the threat of major protests and
 hence disruption to cargo transiting through Conakry, to the city airport and to the port. 
Jordan Elevated 2.0 from Elevated 2.2: Despite on-going economically motivated unrest, overall drop in cargo risk is mainly driven by lower threat to marine cargo
 affecting Aqaba port, which is less likely to suffer material damage from rioting and/or terrorism. In addition, the Syrian government’s control of the border area
 also reduces risk of attacks to ground cargo traffic between Jordan and Syria. 
Russia Elevated 2.0 from Elevated 2.1: Postponement of payment of Platon road toll charge until end 2018 likely to mitigate ground cargo disruption risks as a
 result of truckers' strike action in at least three-month outlook.
Syria 4.7 Severe from 4.9 Severe: Overall drop  is mainly driven by the lower threat to aviation cargo due to significant reduction in recorded violence in
 Damascus, which reduces risk of insurgent attacks against Damascus International Airport. Ground cargo between Syria and Jordan is also less likely to be affected
 as the Syrian government has re-established control over the Naseeb borden crossing with Jordan and the either M5 highway to Damascus.


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.7 YesYesYesYes  
Algeria(Elevated) 1.9Yes Yes Yes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9YesYes  Yes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.5  YesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.0Yes   Yes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.0 Yes  Yes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.8      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.4Yes   Yes  
Burundi(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.6    Yes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.0Yes YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 2.9Yes YesYesYesYes 
Colombia(Elevated) 2.3   YesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 2.0    Yes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 3.1 YesYes Yes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(High) 2.4 YesYesYesYes  
Ecuador(Elevated) 1.8 Yes  Yes  
Egypt(High) 2.8 Yes  Yes  
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Elevated) 2.0    Yes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.6Yes    Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.3Yes    Yes 
India (Eastern India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa)(Elevated) 2.3    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(Elevated) 1.9  YesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.2 YesYesYesYes  
Israel and the PA(High) 2.8Yes   Yes  
Jordan(Elevated) 2.0 Yes     
Kenya(High) 2.4  YesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.1Yes YesYesYes  
Madagascar(Elevated) 1.8Yes      
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) .8YesYesYesYesYesYes 
Mali(Very high) 3.7    Yes  
Mauritania(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.8      Yes
Nepal(Elevated) 1.6  YesYesYes  
Niger(High) 2.6Yes   Yes  
Nigeria(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.0Yes      
Pakistan(Elevated) 2.3  YesYesYes  
Peru(Elevated) 2.1 Yes YesYes  
Philippines(Elevated) 2.2 YesYesYes   
Russia(Elevated) 2.0  Yes Yes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 2.2  YesYes   
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 2.2Yes YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.3Yes YesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.8YesYesYesYesYesYes 
South Korea(Elevated) 1.9 Yes  Yes  
South Sudan(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.6Yes YesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 3.0    Yes  
Ukraine (Ground: all. Marine; Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.4 Yes  Yes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.6YesYesYesYesYes Yes
Zimbabwe(Elevated) 2.1  Yes Yes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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