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Version 174

2 August 2019

This is Version 174 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist.  It was last updated on 2 August 2019.

Location Description Changes

Add: 
Mexico
Qatar
Ukraine (Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters and Sea of Azov)

Delete:  
Ukraine (Ground: all. Marine; Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)

Addition/Removals

Entries annotated with default perils 

Risk Levels

None

Risk Scores

Kenya High 2.6 from High 2.5: Increased risk to aviation cargo, indicated by a stowaway’s penetration of security at Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in Nairobi
.
Libya Severe 5.5 from Severe 5.4: Increased risk to aviation from LNA’s almost weekly targeting of Tripoli’s Mitiga airport, and, more recently, of Misrata airport
. 
Nigeria High 3.0 from High 3.1: Only one successful kidnapping in territorial waters in the first half of 2019 and multiple failures indicate improved surveillance
 off the Niger Delta, slightly reducing marine cargo risk.
Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman High 3.1 from High 3.0: Iranian seizure of UK-flagged tanker, and UK decision to require UK shipping to be escorted by Royal Navy,
 indicate increased risk of Iranian disruption of marine cargo
Qatar High 2.4: Confrontation in Persian Gulf between Iran and US increases likelihood of disruption to shipping in Qatari territorial waters. 
Somalia Very High 3.7 from Very High 3.6: VBIED attack on 12 June against hotel in Kismayo indicates capability of Al-Shabaab to target Kismayo port operations,
 increasing marine cargo risk. They are, however, unlikely to penetrate the port as far as docked vessels.
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters and Sea of Azov) Very high 3.2


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.7  YesYesYes  
Algeria(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Argentina(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.4      Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.6  YesYesYes  
Burundi(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.0  YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Colombia(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Ecuador(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Egypt(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(Elevated) 2.2     Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(Very high) 3.3     Yes 
India (Eastern India: Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkand, Orissa)(High) 2.4    Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Israel(High) 2.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Jordan(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Kenya(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Madagascar(Elevated) 1.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Low) .4     Yes 
Mali(Very high) 3.7  YesYesYes  
Mauritania(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.9      Yes
Nepal(Elevated) 1.6  YesYesYes  
Niger(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Nigeria(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Occupied Palestinian Territory(Severe) 4.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYesYes  
Persian or Arabian Gulf and adjacent waters including the Gulf of Oman west of Longitude 58°E(High) 3.1YesYes     
Peru(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Philippines(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Qatar(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 2.3YesYes  Yes  
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 2.3  YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(High) 2.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.7YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
South Sudan(Very high) 3.7  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 2.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine (Ground: Donbass conflict zone; Marine: Black Sea coast and Sea of Azov within territorial waters)(Very high) 3.2YesYes  Yes  
United Arab Emirates(Elevated) 1.8YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Zimbabwe(Elevated) 2.1  YesYesYes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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