The JCC takes all reasonable care in providing this list, but accepts no liability for any errors or omissions or for the use of the list. Responsibility for the use of the list rests entirely with individual underwriters, brokers, and assureds.


Version 148

3 July 2017

This is Version 148 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist.  It was last updated on 7 July  2017.

Location Description Changes:

‘Bolivia’ deleted. While there are cargo risks affecting this land-locked country, they are not of sufficient significance regionally/globally to be of concern to
 the JCC.
 
‘Brazil’added. A major country where extent of unrest/political instability likely to grow, with impact on ground and marine cargo.  The new country entry is
 separate to the exisitng GCWL entry for cargo theft in a limited high risk area. 

‘Venezuela’  added. A major country where political instability/protests and riots likely to impact on ground and marine cargo.

Additions/Removals:

Bolivia, peril entries deleted.

Brazil, initial score of 2.0 against perils of  ‘Marine-Strikes’ and 'Ground–War/Strikes'. 

Venezuela,  initial score of 2.4 against perils of  ‘Marine-Strikes’ and 'Ground –War/Strikes'.  


Risk Level Changes:

Russia Elevated 2.3 from High 2.4: Winding down of truckers’ protests over highway toll charges  reduces risk of ground cargo disruption. Marine cargo risks
 reduced by absence of further North Korean missile tests into Sea of Japan
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory) Elevated 2.3 from High 2.5: While an Islamist insurgency continues, it is being contained and
 has involved no recent attacks on road or rail cargo.

Risk Score Changes:

Azerbaijan Elevated 1.7 from Elevated 1.8: Infrastructure upgrades at Alat port reduce operating delays and cargo exposure to theft.
DRC High 3.1 from High 2.9: Rising militant violence in the Kivus in east of DRC (artisan mining) increases risk of disruption, damage and theft to ground cargo.
 Reduced violent risks to cargo in major mining region of Katanga.
Gulf of Aden High 2.9 from High 2.8: Al-Shabaab attack on a Puntland military outpost indicates deteriorating onshore security in Puntland, to the advantage of
 both al-Shabaab and would-be pirates.
Philippines Elevated 2.3 from Elevated 2.2: Increased risk of disruption and delay to ground cargo on island of Mindanao (major supplier of fruit) as result of the
 imposition of martial law.
Saudi Arabia Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 1.9:  Increased risk of ground cargo disruption as a result of Saudi closure of border with Qatar.
Somalia Very High 4.0 from Very High 3.7: Al-Shabaab attack on a Puntland military outpost indicates deteriorating onshore security in Puntland, to the advantage
 of both al-Shabaab and would-be pirates.  
South Korea Elevated 1.9  from Elevated 2.1:  Cessation of weekly anti-government protests in Seoul reduces risk of disruption to ground cargo.


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.6 YesYesYesYes  
Algeria(Elevated) 2.2Yes Yes Yes  
Argentina(Elevated) 2.0 Yes  Yes  
Azerbaijan(Elevated) 1.7Yes YesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.1Yes   Yes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.0 Yes  Yes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.7 Yes    Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.4Yes   Yes  
Burundi(High) 2.6  YesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.6    Yes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 3.6Yes YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 3.0Yes YesYesYesYes 
Colombia(High) 2.5   YesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 2.2    Yes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 3.1 YesYes Yes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(High) 2.4 YesYesYesYes  
Ecuador(Elevated) 1.8 Yes  Yes  
Egypt(High) 3.0 Yes  Yes  
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(Elevated) 2.3    Yes  
Georgia(Elevated) 2.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.9Yes    Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0     Yes 
India (Kashmir, Assam, Nagaland, Bihar, Jharkand, Chhattisgarh)(High) 2.6  Yes Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(Elevated) 1.9  YesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.8 YesYesYesYes  
Israel and the PA(High) 2.7Yes   Yes  
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2 Yes     
Kenya(High) 2.6  YesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.6YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.4Yes YesYesYes  
Madagascar(Elevated) 1.6Yes      
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.2YesYesYesYesYesYes 
Mali(Very high) 3.6    Yes  
Mauritania(Elevated) 2.3    Yes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states.)(Very high) 3.7      Yes
Nepal(Elevated) 1.7  YesYesYes  
Niger(High) 2.4Yes   Yes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.2Yes      
Pakistan(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Peru(Elevated) 2.1 Yes YesYes  
Philippines(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYes   
Russia(Elevated) 2.3  Yes Yes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 2.3  YesYes   
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 2.3Yes YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.1Yes YesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 4.0YesYesYesYesYes  
South Korea(Elevated) 1.9 Yes  Yes  
South Sudan(Very high) 4.2  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.7Yes YesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 5.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(Very high) 3.5    Yes  
Ukraine (Ground: all. Marine; Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(High) 3.0YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.4 Yes  Yes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.4YesYesYesYesYes Yes
Zimbabwe(Elevated) 2.0  Yes Yes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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