The JCC takes all reasonable care in providing this list, but accepts no liability for any errors or omissions or for the use of the list. Responsibility for the use of the list rests entirely with individual underwriters, brokers, and assureds.


Version 153

4 December 2017

This is Version 153 of the JCC Cargo Watchlist.  It was last updated on 4 December 2017.

Location Description Changes

Nil

Addition/Removals

Nil

Risk Level Changes

Ethiopia High 2.4 from Elevated 2.3: Increased risk of disruption of ground cargo on major routes servicing capital and border with Sudan, during spread of
 anti-government protests in Oromia and Amhara regions. 

Risk Score Changes  

Azerbaijan Elevated 1.6 from Elevated 1.7: Risk of disruption to ground cargo likely to be mitigated by measures taken to secure transit shipments, following
 launch of Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, which becomes fully operational in early 2018.
Georgia Elevated 1.9 from Elevated 2.0: Risk of disruption to ground cargo likely to be mitigated by measures taken to secure transit shipments, following launch
 of Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, which becomes fully operational in early 2018.
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N: High 2
.8 from High 2.7: While still unsuccessful, pirates have increased the intensity of their attack attempts, the geographical area of which is spreading South to
 waters off Galmudug.
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.) Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.0: Involvement of
 Russian private security company in ‘coup’ in Ukraine’s separatist ‘Luhansk People’s Republic’ indicates increased risk of renewed conflict on Line of Contact,
 affecting ground cargo disruption on Russian side of border with Ukraine.
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory) Elevated 2.2 from  Elevated 2.3: Absence of recent disruption due to terrorist attack indicates
 reduced risk to ground cargo.
Saudi Arabia Elevated 2.3 from Elevated 2.0: Increased risk of disruption to ground cargo due to terrorism and  unrest, and to shipping, marine cargo and port
 operations from targeting of infrastructure by Yemeni insurgents. 
South Sudan Very High 4.1 from Very High 4.0: Increased risk of disruption to ground cargo from ‘for profit’ banditry, exacerbated by poverty.
Ukraine (Ground: all. Marine; Black Sea coast within territorial waters.) High 3.1 from High 3.0: Involvement of Russian private security company in ‘coup’ in
 Ukraine’s separatist ‘Luhansk People’s Republic’ indicates increased risk of renewed conflict on Line of Contact, increasing ground cargo disruption risk.
Zimbabwe Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.0 : Increased risk of disruption to ground cargo as a result of civil unrest and factional rioting.


Versions: 

LocationRiskMarine - WarMarine - StrikesAir - War/StrikesAir - WarGround - War/StrikesPiracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011Cargo Theft
Afghanistan(Severe) 4.7 YesYesYesYes  
Algeria(Elevated) 2.1Yes Yes Yes  
Argentina(Elevated) 2.0YesYes  Yes  
Azerbaijan(Elevated) 1.6  YesYesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 2.1Yes   Yes  
Brazil(Elevated) 2.0 Yes  Yes  
Brazil ( BR-116 Highway Curitaba- Sao Paulo; SP-330 Highway Uberaba-Santos port; BR-116 Highway Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo, BR 050 Highway Brasilia-Santos).(Very high) 3.7 Yes    Yes
Burkina Faso(High) 2.4Yes   Yes  
Burundi(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Cameroon(High) 2.6    Yes  
Central African Republic(Very high) 4.0Yes YesYesYes  
Chad(High) 3.0Yes YesYesYesYes 
Colombia(Elevated) 2.3   YesYes  
Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo)(Elevated) 2.2    Yes  
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(High) 3.0 YesYes Yes  
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(High) 2.4 YesYesYesYes  
Ecuador(Elevated) 1.8 Yes  Yes  
Egypt(High) 3.1 Yes  Yes  
Equatorial Guinea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Eritrea(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes  
Ethiopia(High) 2.4    Yes  
Georgia(Elevated) 1.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Guinea(Elevated) 2.2 Yes  Yes  
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.8Yes    Yes 
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0Yes    Yes 
India (Kashmir, Assam, Nagaland, Bihar, Jharkand, Chhattisgarh)(High) 2.5  Yes Yes  
Indonesia(Elevated) 1.7YesYesYesYesYes  
Iran(Elevated) 1.9  YesYesYes  
Iraq(Very high) 3.6 YesYesYesYes  
Israel and the PA(High) 2.7Yes   Yes  
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2 Yes     
Kenya(High) 2.7  YesYesYes  
Lebanon(Very high) 3.5YesYesYesYesYes  
Libya(Severe) 5.2Yes YesYesYes  
Madagascar(Elevated) 1.6Yes      
Mali(Very high) 3.7    Yes  
Mauritania(Elevated) 2.1    Yes  
Mexico (Estado de México-Puebla-Veracruz highway; Estado de México-Querétaro highway, highways in Tamaulipas, Michoacán and Guerrero states, railways in Guanajuato state.)(Very high) 3.8      Yes
Nepal(Elevated) 1.7  YesYesYes  
Niger(High) 2.6Yes   Yes  
Nigeria(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes  
North Korea(Elevated) 2.0Yes      
Pakistan(High) 2.6  YesYesYes  
Peru(Elevated) 2.1 Yes YesYes  
Philippines(Elevated) 2.3 YesYesYes   
Russia(Elevated) 2.1  Yes Yes  
Russia (Ground: within 200km of the land border with Ukraine. Marine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(Elevated) 2.1  YesYes   
Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)(Elevated) 2.2Yes YesYesYes  
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.3Yes YesYesYes  
Somalia(Very high) 3.9YesYesYesYesYesYes 
South Korea(Elevated) 2.0 Yes  Yes  
South Sudan(Very high) 4.1  YesYesYes  
Sudan(High) 2.7Yes YesYesYes  
Syria(Severe) 4.9YesYesYesYesYes  
Ukraine(High) 3.0    Yes  
Ukraine (Ground: all. Marine; Black Sea coast within territorial waters.)(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes  
Venezuela(High) 2.4 Yes  Yes  
Yemen(Severe) 5.5YesYesYesYesYes Yes
Zimbabwe(Elevated) 2.1  Yes Yes  

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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