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Version 86
8 May 2012
This is Version 86 of the Watchlist. It was last updated on 8 May 2012.
Changes from Version 85 to Version 86:
Locations
Russia (North Caucasus) amended to read 'Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory)'. This is not a change in geographical scope but
clarifies which areas of the North Caucasus Federal District are exposed to land and air cargo risks arising from insurgency movements, terrorism and state use of
force.
Risks
No changes.
Risk Level Changes
No changes.
Risk Score Changes
DRC Severe 4.0 from Severe 3.9: Army defections pose a high risk of war and attacks on land cargo
in southern Kivu.
Gulf of Aden Severe 3.5 from Severe 3.7: Reduced risk as a result of pressure being applied on pirate operations by international maritime forces, reducing pirate
attack rates and operating range.
Jordan High 2.9 from High 2.8: Increased risk that civil unrest will cause indirect disruption to land cargo en route to/from the port of Aqaba.
South Sudan Severe 4.2 from Severe 4.1: Increased risk of land cargo disruption as a result of Sudanese air strikes on infrastructure and ground fighting in Unity
and other states bordering on Sudan.
Versions:
| Location | Risk | Marine - War | Marine - Strikes | Air - War/Strikes | Air - War | Ground - War/Strikes | Piracy:only for use with JC2011/017 GCWL Clause 2011 |
|---|
| Afghanistan | (Severe) 5.1 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Algeria | (Severe) 3.6 | Yes | Yes | | | Yes | |
| Azerbaijan | (High) 2.7 | Yes | | | | | |
| Bangladesh | (High) 3.0 | Yes | | | | Yes | |
| Bolivia | (Severe) 3.7 | | | | | Yes | |
| Burkina Faso | (High) 2.7 | | | | | Yes | |
| Burundi | (High) 3.1 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Cameroon (Marine: Bakassi Peninsula; Ground: All) | (High) 3.1 | Yes | Yes | | | Yes | |
| Central African Republic | (Severe) 3.6 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Chad | (Severe) 3.3 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Colombia | (Severe) 3.4 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Congo - Brazzaville (aka Republic of Congo) | (Elevated) 2.3 | | | | | Yes | |
| Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC) | (Severe) 4.0 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) | (Severe) 3.5 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Ecuador | (High) 3.1 | | | | | Yes | |
| Equatorial Guinea | (Elevated) 2.3 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | | |
| Eritrea | (High) 2.8 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Ethiopia | (Severe) 3.8 | | | | | Yes | |
| Georgia | (High) 2.9 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Guinea | (Severe) 3.6 | | Yes | | | Yes | |
| Gulf of Aden sea area and to 70° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and a line between 23°20’N, 65°E and 20°N, 70°E. Bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N | (Severe) 3.5 | | | | | | Yes |
| Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 3°6'13.966"W 5°8'44.274"N (Cote d'Ivoire-Ghana border) and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east. | (High) 3.1 | | | | | | Yes |
| India (Kashmir, Assam, Nagaland, Bihar, Jharkand, Chhattisgarh) | (High) 3.0 | | | | | Yes | |
| Indonesia | (High) 2.7 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Iran | (Severe) 3.2 | Yes | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Iraq | (Severe) 4.7 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Jordan | (High) 2.9 | Yes | Yes | | | | |
| Kenya | (Severe) 3.5 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Lebanon | (Severe) 4.2 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Libya | (Severe) 4.2 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Madagascar | (Severe) 3.4 | | | | | Yes | |
| Mali | (Severe) 3.2 | | | | | Yes | |
| Mauritania | (High) 2.6 | | | | | Yes | |
| Moldova (Transnistria) | (High) 2.6 | | | | | Yes | |
| Nagorno-Karabakh | (High) 2.9 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Nepal | (High) 2.9 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Niger | (High) 3.1 | | | | | Yes | |
| Nigeria | (Severe) 4.5 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| North Korea | (High) 2.5 | Yes | | | | | |
| PA (West Bank and Gaza) and Israel within 45km of the Gaza-Israel border, including Beersheba and Ashdod | (Severe) 3.6 | | | | | Yes | |
| Pakistan | (Severe) 4.9 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Peru | (High) 3.0 | | Yes | | | Yes | |
| Philippines | (High) 2.9 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Russia (North Caucasus Federal District, less Stavropol Territory) | (Severe) 3.2 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Saudi Arabia | (High) 2.9 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Somalia | (Severe) 4.7 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| South Korea | (Elevated) 2.1 | | Yes | | | Yes | |
| South Sudan | (Severe) 4.2 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Sudan | (Severe) 5.0 | | | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Syria | (Severe) 5.5 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert; Ground: northern Uganda) | (High) 2.9 | Yes | | | | Yes | |
| Yemen | (Severe) 5.3 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Zimbabwe | (Severe) 3.9 | | | Yes | | Yes | |
