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Version 144

4 January 2018

This is Version 144 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 4 January 2017.

Location Description Changes:

Nil

Additions/Removals:

Nil

Risk Level Changes:
Bangladesh Moderate 1.5 from Elevated 1.6: Reduced risk from ‘piracy’ following government amnesty for criminal gangs operating in the Sundarbans.
Iraq Elevated 2.2 from High 2.4: The absence of marine incidents and of evidence of intent or capability by either terrorists or state players indicates lower
 marine risks.

Risk Score Changes:
Cote d’Ivoire Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.2: Reduced risk of collateral damage to hulls and port infrastructure resulting from further mutinies in the security
 forces.
Indonesia Elevated 2.1 from Elevated 2.2: Reduced risk to hulls following increase in patrolling in the Sulu Sea.
North Korea Elevated 2.3 from Elevated 2.2: South Korean authorities likely to seize vessels (especially Chinese, Russian) suspected of ship-to-ship transfers to
 North Korea.
Pakistan Elevated 1.8 from Elevated 1.9: Decreasing militant activity and loss of capability lowers marine risks.
Yemen Severe 5.9 From Severe 5.8: The resumption of the Saudi-led coalition offensive on Hodeidah increases collateral damage risks to shipping using the port and
 to port infrastructure.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7  Yes Yes
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9 YesYes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.1  Yes  
Bangladesh(Moderate) 1.5YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.8Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.1Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(High) 2.5YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.8    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 2.1YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 4.8YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.0    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.4YesYes YesYes
North Korea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.8YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(High) 3.1Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.3Yes   Yes
Somalia(Very high) 3.9YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYes 
Syria(High) 3.1 Yes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 5.9Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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