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Version 136

28 April 2017

This is Version 136 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 27 April 2017.

Location Description Changes

Nil

Additions/Removals

Nil. 

Risk Level Changes

North Korea High 2.5 from Elevated 2.3: Increased risk of shipping being fired on or seized in North Korean waters
South Korea High 2.4 from Elevated 2.3: Increased risk of shipping in South Korean waters near to the disputed maritime boundary being fired on by North Korean
 forces or disruption to marine cargo operations by crisis-related RoK and US military deployments. 

Risk Score Changes

Egypt High 2.7 from High 2.6: Islamic State’s expansion in Sinai and its anti-shipping capability poses increased risk to hulls and cargo in the Gulf of Suez.
Gulf of Aden High 2.6 from High 2.4: A quantum increase to nine piracy attempts in April, compared with four in March, confirms previously assessed trend of
 increasing risk to hulls and cargo as a result of a piracy resurgence, made possible by deteriorating security conditions onshore in the autonomous regions of
 Puntland and Galmudug.  
Jordan Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.1: Islamic State’s expansion in Sinai and its anti-shipping capability poses increased risk to hulls and cargo in the Gulf of
 Aqaba.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7Yes Yes Yes
Argentina(Elevated) 2.0 Yes   
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.4 YesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 1.6YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.9Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.3Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(High) 2.5YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.2   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.6    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 2.2YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 5.2YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.4    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.6YesYes YesYes
North Korea(High) 2.5YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.9YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(Very high) 3.2Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 1.7Yes   Yes
Somalia(High) 3.1YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(High) 2.4YesYesYesYes 
Syria(Very high) 3.4YesYes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 5.5Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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