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Version 138

11 July 2017

This is Version 138 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 10 July 2017.

Location Description Changes:

Nil

Additions/Removals:

Nil

Risk Level Changes:

North Korea Elevated 2.1 from High 2.5: Risk of disruption to shipping as a result of North Korean missile tests has reduced following the end of the latest
 US/South Korean joint exercises.
Philippines High 3.1 from Very High 3.2: Launch of joint marine patrols of Sulu Sea with Malaysia and Indonesia mitigates risk of attack on shipping for kidnap and
 ransom  by Abu Sayyaf militants.

Risk Score Changes:

Azerbaijan  Moderate 1.3 from Moderate 1.4: Infrastructure upgrades at Alat port reduce operating delays and ships’ exposure to theft.
Gulf of Aden High 2.9 from High 2.8: Al-Shabaab attack on a Puntland military outpost indicates deteriorating onshore security in Puntland, to the advantage of
 would-be pirates.
Indonesia Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.3: Launch of joint marine patrols of Sulu Sea with Malaysia and Philippines mitigates risk of attack on shipping for kidnap
 and ransom  by Abu Sayyaf militants.
Saudi Arabia Elevated 2.2 from Elevated 2.0: Elevated risk of marine incidents with Iranian vessels, aggravated by the Qatar crisis.  
Somalia Very High 3.9 from Very High 3.3:  Al-Shabaab attack on a Puntland military outpost indicates deteriorating onshore security in Puntland, to the advantage
 of both al-Shabaab and would-be pirates.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7Yes Yes Yes
Argentina(Elevated) 2.0 Yes   
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.3 YesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 1.6YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.9Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.3Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(High) 2.5YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.9    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 2.2YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 5.2YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.2    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.6YesYes YesYes
North Korea(Elevated) 2.1YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.9YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(High) 3.1Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Somalia(Very high) 3.9YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYes 
Syria(Very high) 3.4YesYes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 5.6Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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