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Version 145

5 February 2018

This is Version 145 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 5 February 2017.

Location Description Changes:

Nil

Additions/Removals:

Nil

Risk Level Changes:

Philippines Very High 3.2 from High 3.1: Philippine government's security warnings of attacks on ports and other targets by returning jihadists indicates increased
 risk to port operations.

Risk Score Changes:

Gulf of Guinea High 3.1 from High 3.0: Increased risk to oil tankers and oil infrastructure off Nigeria following 17 January threat by Niger Delta Avengers (NDA)
 to resume attacks on oil sector, particularly deep-water operations, following lack of progress of negotiations with the government. 
Pakistan Elevated 1.7 from Elevated 1.8: Drop in militant attacks over 2017 indicates reduction in marine, as well as ground/air, transportation risks.
Yemen Severe 6.1 from Severe 5.9: Renewed Houthi threat to target international shipping and close Red Sea indicates growing marine risks in the southern Yemeni
 Red Sea.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7  Yes Yes
Argentina(Elevated) 1.9 YesYes  
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.1  Yes  
Bangladesh(Moderate) 1.5YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.8Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.1Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(High) 2.5YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.8    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.1    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 2.1YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 4.8YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.0    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.4YesYes YesYes
North Korea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.7YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(Very high) 3.2Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.3Yes   Yes
Somalia(Very high) 3.9YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(Elevated) 2.3YesYesYesYes 
Syria(High) 3.1 Yes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 6.1Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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