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Version 137

5 June 2017

This is Version 137 of the Marine Watch List. It was last updated on 5 June 2017.

Location Description Changes

Nil

Additions/Removals

Nil

Risk Level Changes

Nil

Risk Score Changes

Gulf of Aden High 2.8 from High 2.6: Pirate use of two motherships in one of latest attack attempts indicates potential increase in pirates’ operating range and
 attack aspirations.  
Guinea High 2.1 from High 2.2: On-going expansion of Conakry port will reduce congestion, and therfore vulnerability of commercial shipping to pirate attack. 
Indonesia High 2.3 from High 2.2: Absence of recent piracy incidents targeting hulls/cargo, as opposed to kidnap and ransom, indicates reduced capability, if not
 intent.
Malay Peninsula Moderate 1.2 from Moderate 1.4 : Absence of incidents involving targeting of a tanker since unsuccessful attempt in March 2017, and last successful
 attack in August 2015, indicates reduction in pirate tanker attack capability, if not intent
Saudi Arabia Elevated 2.0 from Elevated 1.7:  Increased risk of attacks by Yemen-based insurgents on hulls, marine cargo and port infrastructure in Saudi Arabia’s
 border province of Jizan.
Somalia Very High 3.3 from High 3.1:  Somali pirates' acquisition of mother ships threatens commercial shipping without on-board armed security transiting near
 Socotra gap.
South Korea High 2.5 from High 2.4:  Continuing North Korean missile test launches into Sea of Japan increase likelihood of disruption to commercial shipping
 operations.
Yemen Severe 5.6 from Severe 5.5: Increased targeted threat from Yemen-based insurgents' use of unmanned IED craft to Coalition warships, and to commercial
 shipping suspected of supplying government forces,  and indiscriminate threat from insurgent-laid sea mines.


Versions: 

LocationRiskWarSeizure & ConfiscationDerelict WeaponsStrikesTerrorism
Algeria(Elevated) 1.7Yes Yes Yes
Argentina(Elevated) 2.0 Yes   
Azerbaijan(Moderate) 1.4 YesYes  
Bangladesh(Elevated) 1.6YesYes Yes 
Congo - Kinshasa (aka DRC)(Elevated) 1.9Yes  YesYes
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)(Elevated) 2.3Yes  YesYes
Egypt(High) 2.7Yes  YesYes
Equatorial Guinea(High) 2.5YesYes  Yes
Eritrea(Elevated) 2.2Yes    
Georgia(Elevated) 2.2YesYesYes Yes
Guinea(Elevated) 2.1   Yes 
Gulf of Aden sea area and to 65° E off the Somali coast, bound to the north by latitude 23°30 N, and bound to the south by 12°S and in the Red Sea by 14°N(High) 2.8    Yes
Gulf of Guinea, in the sea area between 4°30'W 5°8'44.274"N and 3°6'13.966"W 2°20'12.8"N in the west, and 9°46'18.636"E 2°20'12.8"N (Cameroon-Equatorial Guinea border) in the east.(High) 3.0    Yes
Indonesia(Elevated) 2.3YesYes Yes 
Iran(High) 2.4YesYesYes  
Iraq(High) 2.4YesYesYesYesYes
Israel and the PA(High) 3.0Yes    
Jordan(Elevated) 2.2Yes   Yes
Lebanon(Very high) 3.4YesYesYesYesYes
Libya(Severe) 5.2YesYes   
Malay Peninsula (Singapore Strait in its entirety and the South China Sea bound at 4°N to the north, 1°N to the south and 106°E to the east’.)(Moderate) 1.2    Yes
Nigeria(Very high) 3.6YesYes YesYes
North Korea(High) 2.5YesYesYes  
Pakistan(Elevated) 1.9YesYes YesYes
Peru(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Philippines(Very high) 3.2Yes    
Russia: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(Elevated) 1.9   Yes 
Saudi Arabia(Elevated) 2.0Yes   Yes
Somalia(Very high) 3.3YesYesYesYesYes
South Korea(High) 2.5YesYesYesYes 
Syria(Very high) 3.4YesYes Yes 
Uganda (Marine: Lake Albert)(High) 2.7Yes    
Ukraine: Black Sea coast within territorial waters(High) 3.0YesYes  Yes
Venezuela(Elevated) 2.1 Yes  Yes
Yemen(Severe) 5.6Yes YesYesYes

‘Risk’ indicates overall country risk. Subsequent columns specify whether or not there is a particular risk to cargo assets in the category quoted.

What is the Risk Scale?

6.5 And AboveExtreme
4.4 to 6.4Severe
3.2 to 4.3Very high
2.4 to 3.1High
1.6 to 2.3Elevated
0.8 to 1.5Moderate
0 to 0.7Low

The risk scale ranges from 0 - 10. The scores enable the comparison of risk between location, providing a greater degree of precision than risk bands alone (e.g. Extreme). Each risk band has been colour coded to be consistent with the system used by IHS Country Risk


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